5h
The company argues the law's definition of "nudification" is so broad it would make shirtless men and swimwear photos illegal, and wants a federal court to stop it before Saturday.
How the world is pricing this
Coin flip · 240-259
The crowd is pricing 240-259 at 51%, which reads as coin flip. A month ago it sat near 10%, so conviction has firmed up by 41 points as the story developed. About $3.0M is riding on the outcome.
$608K of liquidity · $771K traded today
What needs to happen
Resolves according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 24 12:00 PM ET to July 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
Settles Jul 31, 2026
Take a view
Odds and movement update live. Fills are simulated until you connect a wallet.
from Decrypt