5h
A federal judge handed Elon Musk his second defeat against OpenAI after finding xAI failed to show OpenAI improperly obtained confidential info.
How the world is pricing this
Toss-up · 180-199
The crowd is pricing 180-199 at 55%, which reads as toss-up. A month ago it sat near 17%, so conviction has firmed up by 38 points as the story developed. About $5.3M is riding on the outcome.
$1.4M of liquidity · $977K traded today
What needs to happen
Resolves according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 9 12:00 PM ET to June 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
Settles Jun 16, 2026
Take a view
Odds and movement update live. Fills are simulated until you connect a wallet.
More in Tech
from Decrypt